After the sudden sharp property market downturn in the first half of this year as the pandemic took hold, there is still much uncertainty ahead for the economy and property markets. We expect the property market downturn to continue into Q3, with a slow recovery anticipated from Q4 onwards, led by the industrial and office sectors, while the retail sector is forecast to continue to see negative performance until the end of 2021. External property consultant PMA are forecasting total returns at the All Property level to fall by c. 10% in 2020 in their main ‘Recession’ scenario, followed by a modest recovery of 0.7% in 2021.
The strategy for the LF Canlife UK Property ACS will be to continue to target an income yield of c.5.0% from property assets, as well as capital appreciation through active asset management. We will continue to reduce our exposure to the high street retail sector and will focus on acquiring longer-income stock with a particular focus on the industrial sector, together with some added-value stock in the office and industrial sectors.